Thursday, May 17, 2007

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Update

Yesterday the euro-dollar has not declined because of the data (at max. Intermarriage between production and licensing best building in free fall to its lowest for 10 years, which is the most significant It shows that the worst is yet to come for the real estate) neither of the bags that held through an ever weaker yen (euroyen made a new max. to almost 164), but due to a sudden slip of all commodities with heavy losses for copper, silver, gold, platinum. E 'fire reflex to buy dollars when the commodities are coming down, and so the dollar has gained against all starting with the Australian and the rest. There are rumors of an imminent rate hike in China and this may explain the drop in metals, and also their correction is entirely physiological. The Eurodollar
still did not go below 1.3520, and is now swinging back to 1.355 which is the point from which he had begun the week, until Tuesday when, after U.S. data on inflation has shot up to 1.363 level retested yesterday, and the keeping of which had already started a retracement tramutatosi then falling just as a result of commodities and the first break of 1.3575 support.
today's movements can be triggered by any surprises on weekly benefits and the Philly Fed, but it seems unlikely that both sets of data can do much one way or another, some news could come from speeches by Greenspan and Bernanke, but also here is not very likely. Technically, it is important to see if the area is threatened 1.349 downward and possible reactions at this level, if nothing happens and it remains so smooth, there are good probable that range from 1.35 to 1.363 harder still for a long time, since the timing of next week (assuming that the current framework remains weak yen and strong with commodities exchanges in bedding).

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